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Battle lines are rural vs. urban

05/11/2003

For almost a decade, Missouri's concealed-weapons backers have been searching for a few good votes.

Since 1995, the state House - under Democratic, and now Republican control - has made it an almost-annual tradition to overwhelmingly approve a measure that would allow most Missouri adults to get permits to carry concealed weapons.

But the House victory tallies were never large enough to counter a governor's threatened veto. And in the Senate, a filibustering minority could be counted on to kill off the bill.

That scenario continued after the 1999 statewide referendum, where voters narrowly rejected the concealed-carry idea. Last year, the House voted 2-to-1 for a bill; the Senate duly killed it.

This month's overwhelming victories in the state House and Senate suggest that backers may finally have achieved their goal. The supporting votes in both chambers were enough to override an expected veto by Gov. Bob Holden, a Democrat.

But behind the scenes, Republican legislative leaders fear that Holden still has the edge - especially in the state Senate, which once again could serve as a concealed-weapons graveyard.

"The outcome of an override is in doubt," said state Senate President Pro Tem Peter Kinder, R-Cape Girardeau, a concealed-weapons supporter who suspects his side may end up a vote or two short.

The Senate's 23 supportive votes were exactly the number needed to overrule Holden, but one was cast by a concealed-weapons opponent as part of a failed parliamentary maneuver to block passage. That senator, Ken Jacob, D-Columbia, is expected to side with Holden on any override effort.

Kinder isn't sure he has a pro-weapons replacement, although the lone Republican opponent - state Sen. Michael Gibbons of Kirkwood - indicated Friday that he might switch sides.

But Kinder suspects that at least one of the three Democratic backers might defect to Holden's side, saying he's been told "they don't want to embarrass their own governor."

In the state House, the final vote was 111-43 for the bill; the minimum number needed for an override is 109. Speaker Catherine Hanaway has no doubt that her bipartisan cadre of concealed-weapons supporters will amass an override tally "in the neighborhood of 115 votes."

But since each chamber must vote to override, the size of the House victory is meaningless if the Senate support falls through.

Because of that, both sides seem to be focusing lately as much on the politics of the concealed-weapons votes as on the policies surrounding the issue.

Among other things, Republicans and Democrats are carefully trying to craft partisan arguments that take into account the true, nonpartisan nature of the dispute.

Although a Democratic governor leads one side, and Republican legislative leaders head up the other, the foot soldiers in each camp traditionally have been bipartisan.

Missouri's concealed-weapons fight is yet another case of the rural-urban divide that plagues many of the state's most volatile issues, from transportation to education.

The 1999 referendum starkly illustrated the split: voters in 104 rural counties backed the measure, while voters in 10 others - mostly urban and suburban - joined the cities of St. Louis and Kansas City in opposing it. A huge urban and suburban turnout sealed its defeat.

As late as last year, Hanaway was among the suburban Republicans in the Legislature who regularly joined with urban Democrats to oppose concealed weapons measures - largely because many of their constituents believe that such a law won't make big-city streets safer.

Rural legislators of both parties long have embraced the issue as a matter of personal rights and public safety.

Holden, who hails from rural southwest Missouri, says he's aware of the geographical split - and the one within his own party. He has been careful to add that the issue "is not a litmus test for being a Democrat."

But the Democrats are accusing Republican leaders - notably Hanaway - of doing just that, because only two Republicans in the Legislature voted against the measure this time.

This year's lineup of state House supporters included several suburban legislators - generally Republicans - whose districts would normally mandate otherwise.

"Catherine Hanaway coerced her members to reward her campaign contributors who helped her become speaker," said Roy Temple, a state Democratic Party consultant.

Hanaway says Democrats are misrepresenting her position and her reasons.

As she campaigned for Republican House candidates last year, Hanaway says she did agree that she would allow the concealed-weapons issue to be brought up for a vote if she were elected speaker. But she adds that she made clear she wasn't sure what her own position would be.

Hanaway says her views on the matter have "evolved," and have been influenced - as have those of many voters, she adds - by the terrorist attacks of Sept. 11, 2001. "People are more security conscious on all levels," she said.

Her aides assembled a list of seven largely suburban freshmen legislators - three Democrats and four Republicans - who voted in favor of the concealed-weapons bill and came from districts where previous legislators opposed the measure.

"Republicans and Democrats that are pro-gun are winning in suburban areas," said Chuck Caisley, Hanaway's chief of staff. "I would argue that concealed weapons are becoming more accepted."

Holden disagrees, adding that he's confident the public will rally to his side when he explains that the Legislature's bill "allows guns to be carried into restaurants and to ballfields where Little League games are played."

With no veto session until the fall, the governor plans an anti-concealed weapons campaign this summer.

Backers like state Rep. Chuck Portwood, R-Ballwin, say they plan to spend the summer promoting the bill's provisions - such as finger-printing applicants - that they say make it "the strictest concealed-carry law in the country."

For years, a number of national groups - notably the National Rifle Association (for) and the Million Mom March (against) - have taken prominent positions in Missouri's debate. But this year, most of the groups kept a lower profile.

Said state Rep. Tom Villa, D-St. Louis: "The opposition wasn't nearly as visible this time around, because they believed they were going to get their ears boxed."

Kelly Whitley, a spokeswoman for the Virginia-based National Rifle Association, said the group supported the Missouri Legislature's action.

"Right now, we're going to focus on encouraging the governor to sign the bill," she added.

Sharing the governor's concerns are 450 self-insured restaurants with the 4,000-member Missouri Restaurant Association. Forrest Miller, president of the self-insured group, said they're upset because the measure leaves enforcement up to the businesses.

For example, restaurants could post anti-gun signs outside their establishments. But if someone brings in a gun anyway, "that means we have to take action," Miller said. "I don't want that responsibility."

The governor accuses some concealed-weapons supporters of continuing their battle in the Legislature because they're afraid to turn to the public. "They know what the voters would say," he said.

Replied Kinder, "I don't support . . . putting a right that's in the Bill of Rights to a public vote."

Jo Mannies covers local, state and congressional politics for the Post-Dispatch.

Reporter Jo Mannies:
E-mail: jmannies@post-dispatch.com
Phone: 314-340-8334