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http://redstradingpost.blogspot.com/2007/12/do-as-we-say-not-as-we-do-serious.html

"DO AS WE SAY NOT AS WE DO!"; Serious problems with the ATF's own record keeping

Thursday, December 13, 2007
I had posted earlier about the ATF's own horrendous record keeping; yet, Acting ATF Director Michael J. Sullivan and the ATF are shutting down dealers for clerical errors that add up to a fraction of a percentage and furthermore the ATF has to prove that the dealers committed these errors WILLFULLY!

If you are writing your Senators, please pass along the following information:

" . . . these errors render the NFRTR questionable as a source of evidence in federal law enforcement . . . "

So wrote Dr. Fritz J. Scheuren, an internationally recognized expert on statistics and administrative records, to Alan B. Mollohan, Chairman, Subcommittee on Commerce, Justice, Science and Related Agencies, of the Committee on Appropriations, House of Representatives, in this letter, on December 11, 2007. The National Firearms Registration and Transfer Record (NFRTR) is a database used by ATF to track legally owned machine guns and other firearms required to be registered under the National Firearms Act (NFA) of 1934.

As was the case in 2000, when he first responded to a Congressional request to evaluate ATF's response to three questions asked by the Subcommittee on Treasury, Postal Service, and General Government Appropriations http://www.nfaoa.org/documents/2001statement.pdf, Dr. Scheuren said: "ATF has serious material weaknesses in its firearm registration system which it has yet to acknowledge," and that his reading of the 1998 audit reports on the NFRTR by the Treasury Department Inspector General "suggests that very serious problems were uncovered in ATF's recordkeeping systems. In fact, in my long experience, I cannot think of an instance where poorer results were obtained."

In the same Congressional statement in which the foregoing appeared, a nationally recognized expert on firearms law, Stephen P. Halbrook, advised the Subcommittee to " . . . investigate this matter further . . . [and] . . . [u]nless and until BATF can conform its records to acceptable standards of accuracy, the Subcommittee should consider legislation to prohibit use of the NFRTR database in civil and criminal proceedings."

The errors to which Dr. Scheuren and attorney Halbrook are referring are summarized in this table of NFRTR errors http://www.nfaoa.org/documents/SummaryNFRTRerror1.pdf, which have long been known to the Government. Indeed, information about these errors was created by the Government itself. The situation is egregious enough that Dr. Scheuren is planning (as his letter to Chairman Mollohan states) to include the NFRTR in the 2nd edition of his book on statistics and administrative records, which will probably be published in the spring of 2008. In the Washington, D.C., environment, considerable expertise can be brought to the issue of the validity and reliability of a federal law enforcement data base, and perhaps this is what it will take to render the NFRTR accurate and complete.

Dr. Scheuren is in some ways an unlikely spokesman for the firearms community, because he isn't. In fact, Dr. Scheuren (1) owns no firearms, (2) is not involved in gun control one way or the other, (3) is distinguished by pro bono work on international human rights, and (4) is that rare combination of public servant who is informed by executive experience with federal statistical agencies, and equally respected in the private sector. His resume shows that he's as good as they come.


Dr. Scheuren is currently Vice President, Statistics, at the National Opinion Research Center at the University of Chicago, and a past elected President of the American Statistical Association.


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