Howard Dean puts it point-blank.
"Sure," said the former Vermont governor, a
Democrat running for president. "You can walk into
my office with a gun."
Because packing heat is legal in the Green Mountain
State, Dean doesn't mind if you carry a gun there --
provided you are not a convict, mentally ill or
threatening someone with your weapon. Perhaps no other
state in the nation is so lenient when it comes to
carrying concealed firearms.
Repeat: Dean is a Democrat, and widely
considered a liberal one at that.
But he and a growing number of fellow Democrats
believe their party must avoid alienating tens of
millions of gun owners -- especially in rural areas and
the South -- in order to have a chance to win the White
House next year.
Having seen their party blistered by gun-rights
groups that can fire up single-issue voters, many
Democratic leaders are holstering traditional arguments
about gun control.
Federal firearms laws were barely mentioned in the
first Democratic presidential debate last weekend. And
Phil Journey, president of the Kansas State Rifle
Association, said he wasn't surprised.
Watching some Democrats today, Journey said, "is
like watching that old Monty Python movie where the
knights throw up their hands and say, `Run away!'
They're finally getting the message" about gun
owners' rights.
Others would rather keep fighting in the name of
public safety.
Angered that the U.S. House easily passed a bill to
protect the gun industry from lawsuits, Democratic Sen.
Frank Lautenberg of New Jersey told The Washington
Post recently: "People are frightened of a
reaction from the gun lobby. Frankly, I think we need to
stand up to them."
Dean explained his stand Thursday on his way to a
Kansas City fund-raiser: If states with high-crime
problems want to draft strict gun laws, fine. But
Vermont never has chosen to do so.
Vermont is the lone U.S. state in which most
law-abiding citizens can carry concealed firearms
without obtaining a permit.
"We have no gun control in Vermont," said
Dean, who served 12 years as governor. "We also
have pretty close to the lowest homicide rate in
America."
Dean said he supports extending the federal ban on
assault weapons. He supports federal requirements for
criminal background checks on gun buyers. But with many
other gun-related questions, Dean advocates letting
states set their own rules.
"I don't think gun control is a national
issue," he said. "In the rural state I come
from, we're accustomed to being around guns...But it's
perfectly all right to me if New York and New Jersey
have all the gun legislation they want."
That hardly sounds pro-gun to Wayne LaPierre,
executive vice president of the National Rifle
Association.
He said Dean and many other Democrats are
"schizophrenic" on the issue, if not
flagrantly "anti-Second Amendment."
Yet there is one sign that the Republican leadership
wishes to inch toward a middle ground in the gun debate,
as well. President Bush has pledged support for
extending the ban on semiautomatic assault weapons,
riling gun groups that have considered him to be a
champion of their interests.
Other strategies
In Missouri, another Democratic governor, Bob Holden,
has pledged to veto so-called "right-to-carry"
legislation recently passed by the General Assembly.
Political analysts expect Holden to keep his veto
promise, even if it may upset voters in rural areas
where pro-gun sentiments run highest.
"Number one, by vetoing it he's pleasing the
majority of voters" who defeated a 1999 statewide
referendum for legalizing the carrying of concealed
weapons, said Ken Warren, a pollster and St. Louis
University political science professor. "That's a
very strong argument."
Add to that argument Holden's desire to strengthen
his urban Democratic base, or that it might please GOP
suburbanites who support gun controls, "and Bob
Holden comes out smelling like a rose," Warren
said.
Other Democrats have taken sometimes awkward steps to
appeal to gun-owning voters -- thought to be about half
of the American electorate.
Last year in Alaska, Democratic gubernatorial
candidate Fran Ulmer brought the news media along when
she shopped for a new handgun to carry in her purse. She
lost the election.
Former U.S. Sen. Jean Carnahan, a Missouri Democrat,
drew hoots from the gun lobby when her 2002 campaign
turned a skeet shoot into a photo opportunity. Cameras
clicked as she cradled her own 20-gauge Browning Citori
shotgun.
She, too, lost the election.
Such displays are not intended to woo conservative
stalwarts within the NRA, said David Kopel, a Colorado
gun-rights advocate who considers himself a Democrat.
Rather, the aim is to "prevent the further
defection of working-class people who voted Democratic
for economic issues but switched to Republican because
of guns," he said. Kopel is research director at
the Independence Institute, which leans toward
libertarian causes.
A politician "certainly can be in favor of some
sensible, reasonable, moderate gun control and still be
a very sincere defender of Second Amendment rights"
to keep and bear arms, Kopel said.
That view is now echoed by the Democratic Leadership
Council -- once headed by an Arkansas governor named
Bill Clinton.
In fact, the council of centrist Democrats chimed in
agreement when Attorney General John Ashcroft in 2001
extended Justice Department policy to assert that gun
ownership was an "individual right" and not
just the "collective right" of militias.
Ashcroft's stand enraged gun-control forces. But the
Democratic Leadership Council's Bruce Reed wrote that
"if Ashcroft is too quick to dismiss every other
constitutional right, he's right about this one."
Honest appraisal or political cave-in?
"We can't go out and demonize gun owners,"
said Jose Cerda, a senior policy adviser on crime issues
for the Democratic council. "The constitutional
right to own a firearm is something Democrats should
support," and yet, "it's something we didn't
always make clear."
At the same time, Cerda said, "You don't simply
take gun issues off the table. Guns remain a completely
American aspect to the crime problem."
The right's influence
Many political observers -- and certainly the NRA --
credit Democrat Al Gore's narrow defeat in 2000 to
pro-gun voters in West Virginia, Tennessee, Montana and
other states teeming with hunters.
Candidate Dean shares this view, once telling a TV
interviewer: "We need to get guns off the national
radar screen if Democrats are ever going to win again in
the South and the West."
But Luis Tolley, state legislative director for the
Brady Campaign to Prevent Gun Violence, said Dean
"has veered way too far toward the NRA" to win
his party's nomination.
"I'd be surprised if anyone can win a Democratic
primary without having strong positions on gun
control," Tolley said.
While the rhetoric about guns has changed, public
opinion has not, said Robert Spitzer, author of The
Politics of Gun Control. He said most Americans
continue to support firearm laws that, for example, ban
assault weapons, regulate handgun sales and require
background checks.
And Spitzer questioned the gun lobby's role in Gore's
defeat. After all, the presidential contender prevailed
in Pennsylvania and several other states considered
vital to the NRA, perhaps partly because he
fought the lobby, Spitzer said.
Nevertheless, about one-third of Democrats in the
U.S. House this month backed a bill to give gun makers
and dealers sweeping immunity from lawsuits. While many
of those Democrats represent rural districts, others
were city folk, including Rep. Harold Ford of Memphis,
Tenn.
"The thinking among some Democrats may be: Why
should my plans for national health insurance be
sacrificed on gun issues?" said Kopel of the
Independence Institute.
Missouri gun-control activist Jeanne Kirkton deplores
the reasoning.
"It's scary," said Kirkton, legislative
director of the Million Mom March in St. Louis.
"When politicians are silenced by an aggressive
minority, it's not healthy.
"Poll after poll shows most Americans support
sensible gun regulations....But the gun people -- they
get out the vote."
Poll after poll also puts firearm issues low on the
public's list of major concerns today -- well below the
economy, terrorism, health care and education.
So unless Dean of Vermont jumps way ahead of the
Democratic pack, his opponents for the nomination
probably will not shout much about his view on gun
legislation, said political scientist Warren.
And, should Dean win the nomination, should he hope
also to win the NRA's endorsement for the White House?
"No," Dean said. "They would support
George W. Bush over any Democratic nominee."