The decline is undeniable. What it means is more controversial.
"They're trying to pump their stats up," complained Bill
Mayfield, a longtime gun dealer in Fresno, Calif. "It looks good,
but what they're doing is pursuing an anti-gun, anti-American point of
view."
In 1994, 245,628 U.S. residents held federal licenses allowing them to
sell firearms. In California alone, the nation's most populous state,
there were 20,148 license holders.
Now, there are 50,630 of the so-called Type 1 federal firearms licenses
nationwide. In California, the number of licenses fell to 2,120 this
year.
The number of firearms licenses likewise fell more than 80 percent since
1994 in Florida, Washington, Louisiana and Georgia, among other states.
Even the state with the smallest reduction in licensed dealers - Montana
- saw a 68 percent decline.
The number of Arizona's licensed dealers declined 75 percent to 1,059 in
2007 from 4,178 in 1994.
"As the number of licensed dealers has dropped, it's become more
manageable for the (Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives)
to enforce," Langley said.
The Violence Policy Center is a gun-control advocacy group funded by the
Chicago-based Joyce Foundation. The foundation also finances other
efforts, including the Great Lakes States Summit on Handgun Violence in
April.
The decline in licenses began after Congress approved in 1993 the Brady
Bill, named for former White House press secretary James Brady, who was
wounded in a 1981 assassination attempt on President Reagan. The 1993
law, and a subsequent 1994 anti-crime law, imposed new restrictions.
The firearms licenses that once cost $10 a year now cost $200 a year for
the first three years. License applicants now must submit photographs
and fingerprints and inform local police of their plans. In many cases,
those losing licenses were so-called "kitchen table" dealers.
"Smaller shops simply can't afford some of that," said Ashley
Varner, a spokesperson for the National Rifle Association, and
"people in rural areas have a harder time getting firearms if they
aren't near a large store."
Nonetheless, Varner said Justice Department records indicate total
firearm sales have remained roughly even in recent years.
Starting with the Clinton administration, the Bureau of Alcohol,
Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives has been more aggressive in monitoring
license holders. Officials have insisted that license holders be
"actively engaged in the business" of selling guns if they're
to hold licenses.
Gun-related crimes have fallen over the past year, as have the
percentage of Americans who say they own firearms. In 1993, for
instance, the Justice Department recorded more than 1 million non-fatal
crimes involving firearms. By 2005, the number of non-fatal gun-related
crimes had fallen to 419,000.
"The fact that there are fewer gun dealers out there means there
are fewer sources of guns for street criminals," Langley said.
Gun-control advocates hope to tighten regulations further, for instance,
by permitting federal authorities to conduct more than the annual
compliance inspection that's currently allowed. Congress, though, hasn't
shown significant interest so far in renewing gun debate this year.