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Kansas City Star

Ignore NRA hype, focus on facts

By JANICE S. ELLIS Special to The Star
Date: 05/17/01 page B7

This weekend the volatile issue of guns will likely occupy much of the conversation around Kansas City. More than 40,000 people are expected to attend the National Rifle Association's annual convention. And, an undetermined number of people from the Kansas City area and elsewhere are expected to protest the gun group's presence.

Proponents of the concealed-carry bill in the Missouri legislature are probably thinking how fortuitous that the NRA will be present -- in full force -- when the issue can still come up for a vote. The legislature ends its session at 6 p.m. on Friday.

The opponents, no doubt, are saying the timing couldn't be worse. How cunning and calculating. The NRA is known for its effective lobbying on the issue of gun ownership and gun control.

My last column, in which I addressed the potential problems for Missourians should House Bill 853 pass, drew nearly 100 e-mail messages and letters. The bill would allow most Missourians to carry concealed guns.

Most of the responses were pro-conceal and carry. After reading about 20 of them, a very common refrain emerged. Some of the points and examples used were very similar, if not identical in language.

I must acknowledge after reading all of them, I thought I had been responded to by the NRA.

Nonetheless, I feel it is necessary to address the predominant claim that ran through all of the responses: that my concerns were not grounded in facts or research.

Needless to say, one of the primary purposes of my column is to provide the best analysis I can on any issue I write about. So I went back to the drawing board, did further research. What follows are the facts I found based on studies examining FBI crime statistics and states' crime data.

Claim: Concealed-carry proponents claim: In states where there is a conceal-carry law, crime has gone down significantly.

Fact: According to a 1999 study by the Center to Prevent Handgun Violence (based on FBI figures), between 1992 and 1997, in states that did not have conceal-and-carry laws, the violent crime rate fell an average of 24.8 percent.

In the 29 states studied and that have broad-reaching conceal-carry laws, the violent crime rate dropped by only 11.4 percent. Nationally, during that same period, the violent crime rate fell 19.4 percent.

There was a greater reduction in crime in states without conceal-carry laws.

Claim: Carrying a gun will provide self-defense. 

Fact: According to the National Institutes of Justice, on average, 16 percent of all police officers killed in the line of duty are killed with their own firearm that was taken from them by the assailant, despite their rigorous training. The International Brotherhood of Police Officers and the International Association of Chiefs of Police oppose passage of liberal conceal and carry laws.

Claim: Only law-abiding citizens will be allowed to get permits and when they do, they will act responsibly and won't likely commit crimes.

Fact: A study done in March 1999 by the Violence Policy Center, based on data from the Texas Department of Public Safety, shows that after Texas passed a liberal conceal-and-carry law, nearly 1,000 permit holders have been arrested for crimes that include murder, kidnapping, rape or sexual assault, and drug charges. The study further found that permit holders were arrested for weapons offenses at a rate more than twice that of the general population.

Many laws require or encourage permit holders to take gun safety training courses. But how many actually become trained users?

There are other facts to be researched. 

No matter what side of the issue you are on, we all should look very carefully at the facts amid all of the emotion and heated debate.

As a society, as a state, we need to ask if permitting practically anyone over 21 to legally carry a gun any time, anywhere, any place is the answer.

It is an issue not to be taken lightly. Missourians still have a chance to choose. Please call your representative, senator and the governor to voice your opinion. Do it today, before it is too late.

Janice S. Ellis' column normally appears on alternate Tuesdays. To reach her, send e-mail to jsellis@kc.rr.com.

 

From:  Frank Brady
Date:   05/17/2001

TO Janice S. Ellis, The Kansas City Star
RE This morning's column

Good Lord, Janice! I know you don't like firearms but I always thought you were at least honest. This morning's piece contains more factual distortions per column inch than any seen since they took away Paul Begala's word processor.

Here's a clue for you. None of the sources cited (the Center to Prevent Handgun Violence, the National Institutes for Justice, and the Violence Policy Center) have ever said anything remotely approximating the truth-on any topic-at least not in living memory. Credibility suffers when one relies on incredible sources for information. The people in these organizations lie for a living professionally. Consider this:

1. The Center to Prevent Handgun Violence picked the 1992-1997 period for it's comparison for a reason. Throughout the decade of the 1980s, when homicide and armed robbery rates in the rest of the country were exploding, states with concealed carry laws were experiencing dramatic declines. Consequently, by the time 1992 rolled around, states with concealed carry laws had already achieved the declines that their more restrictive neighbors would not experience for several years. Extend the graph back to cover the period from 1980 to 1997 and the full extent of CPHV's dishonesty becomes utterly clear. By the way, the decline in violent crime nationally during the Clinton administration had two primary causes Changes in population demographics and a massive increase in the incarceration of the most violence-prone. Black males between the ages of 15 and 29 represent only about six percent of the population but account for more than sixty percent of U.S. violent crime. During Clinton's watch, the number of people in this group who were either in prison, on probation, or on parole grew from approximately 4,000,000 in 1992 to approximately 5,600,000 by 2000. This fact is somehow invisible to the national news media. Perhaps a feature story is in order.

2. Numerous studies, including those by criminologists who initially supported gun control laws (John Lott, et al) show that citizens successfully employ firearms in self-defense and crime prevention millions of times a year. Please see http//www.journals.uchicago.edu/JLS/lott.pdf for the relevant study, published in a refereed journal. However, the primary societal value of concealed carry laws is deterrence. That policemen who engage in active confrontations with criminals are sometimes killed by thugs with their own weapons is sad. It is also utterly irrelevant with respect to the pertinent question of whether criminals are deterred from violence against the general population by the prospect that intended victims might be armed. Common sense and all credible research-based evidence, including numerous interviews with prison inmates, indicates that they are so deterred.

3. The Violence Policy Center's claim that CCW holders in Texas were arrested at twice the rate of the general population is so malignantly misleading as to be ludicrous. Please go to http//txdps.state.tx.us/administration/crime_records/chl/chlsindex.htm (the Texas Department of Public Safety site, the agency responsible for administering Texas CCW laws) and see for yourself. In summary, as of May 1, 2001, there were 214,754 active permits in Texas. During 2000, a total of 178 permit holders were convicted of felonies of all types (.08%, that is eight one-hundreds of one percent) and only 70 permit holders were convicted of felonies involving a firearm (.03%) or three one-hundreds of one percent. To put this in perspective, Kansas City, Missouri would have to reduce the number of felony convictions among its general population to 364 per year. You might want to check with the Prosecutor's office to see how this compares in the real world. For your information, Vermont has the lowest  crime rate in the nation (1 murder per 100,000 people). Vermont's laws simply state that if you are not a felon, or are not committing a crime, then you can carry a concealed firearm. There are no Taxes or fees, no finger printing, no background checks, NO REGISTRATION OF GUNOWNERS, no classes to pass, no licenses. You are treated as innocent unless you prove to be otherwise. Why has Vermont not been flooded in a sea of blood?

For the record, I am neither a member of the NRA nor a supporter of CCW legislation. I do support the immediate repeal of all federal, state and local statutes and ordinances that violate the Bill of Rights, including Amendments II and X. No American needs permission from any government to carry a firearm, concealed or openly. What we do need is a return to constitutional government.

Frank Brady

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