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The final report that apparently caused this parting of the ways can
be found at http://www.emory.edu/central/NEWS/Releases/Final_Report.pdf.
I am overall disappointed that they didn't go after what I consider the
far more blatant violations, such as his altering of quotes and
misrepresenting the militia statutes of the colonial period--but they do
skewer him reasonably well in the limited area that they were pursuing.
A couple of points worth quoting:
If Professor Bellesiles did indeed read Contra Costa records believing
they were from San Francisco, then the issue could again be one of
extremely sloppy documentation rather than fraud. There are three
aspects of this story, however, that raise doubts about his veracity.
a. He didn't accept the opportunity to go find the San Francisco
records until a friend suggested he may have found them in Contra
Costa. So the idea that he had confused the origins of the records
seems to have come from outside. In addition, there is some question
as to whether the records he now cites could indeed be ones that he
had read in 1993.
b. The records he selected and photocopied from that Contra Costa
archive were hardly random, but explicitly chosen because they had the
words "San Francisco" in them, even though the records
themselves clearly identify them as deriving from the Contra Costa
court.
c. The records he selected do not seem to provide the sort of
information his project requires. They may be California records. They
may bear the name "San Francisco" somewhere in the files,
but they do not appear to be detailed inventories of personal
property. The Welsh inventory includes only livestock and wheat, and
the Crippen only livestock and a wagon. These do not seem to be
appropriate sources for determining either the presence or absence of
guns.
At issue as well is his claim to have read microfilms at the National
Archives Record Center in East Point, Georgia. When told that the
National Archives had no probate records, he responded that he read
so-called "Mormon microfilm" that he brought with him to the
archives. When others pointed out that those microfilms do not
circulate, he responded that he got them through a friend. [AA 00136, MB
00025-27l]
Since microfilms owned by the LDS Family History Library in Salt Lake
City are freely available to the public through hundreds of small branch
libraries all over the United States, we found this explanation
puzzling. One need not be a Mormon or even know a Mormon in order to
borrow microfilm through this library, and scholars can with permission
of the original archive purchase film for a small fee. Wanting to make
sure we had not misunderstood his story, we raised the question again in
our written queries.
He responded, "Over the time I was looking at probate
microfilms, two graduate students in my department were working on
dissertations that involved economic themes. All three of us benefited
from our association with a member of the Mormon Church who assisted us
in getting microfilms. At the time none of us thought anything about it,
but I may have endangered his job by what I thought was an innocent
activity." (Since branch libraries are staffed by volunteers,
however, there was no "job" to endanger.) [MB00450-00451]
When we asked Professor Bellesiles how his friend knew what microfilm
to borrow on his behalf, he said that he selected them from "a
binder" that listed the available records. While it is certainly
possible that an unnamed friend provided Professor Bellesiles with the
microfilms he needed, it would have been an extraordinary act of service
and surely would have merited thanks in the acknowledgements of a book.
LDS branch libraries do not in fact contain records. What they hold is a
catalog (initially on microfiche and later on computer) of the vast Salt
Lake holdings. No binder could possibly contain this information.
Significantly, Professor Bellesiles told us on June 14 that he had never
visited one of these libraries. [Transcription of Interview, AA 00731-AA
00733]
Question 4. Did Professor Bellesiles engage in "intentional
fabrication or falsification of research data" in connection with
probate records supporting the figures in Table One to his book,
"Arming America: The Origins of a National Gun Culture"?
With respect to this question, unfamiliarity with quantitative methods
or plain incompetence could explain some of the known deficiencies in
the construction of Table One, such as the author's failure to include
numbers of cases or explain the strange breakdown of data. For
example, when asked for specific information about his geographic
categories, he told the committee that he had included Ohio in the
"Northern coast" and counted all data from Worcester County,
Massachusetts as "urban.")
But in one respect, the failure to clearly identify his sources,
does move into the realm of "falsification," which would
constitute a violation of the Emory "Policies." The
construction of this Table implies a consistent, comprehensive, and
intelligible method of gathering data. The reality seems quite the
opposite. In fact, Professor Bellesiles told the Committee that
because of criticism from other scholars, he himself had begun to
doubt the quality of his probate research well before he published
it in the Journal of American History. [Interview, p.35-6 AA
00764-764; MB 00448]
The most egregious misrepresentation has to do with his handling
of the more than 900 cases reported by Alice Hanson Jones. When
critics pointed out that Jones" data disagreed with his,
Bellesiles responded by explaining that he did NOT include Jones's
data in his computations because her inventories, taken during the
build-up to the American revolution, showed a disproportionately
high number of guns! Here is a clear admission of misrepresentation,
since the label on column one in Table One clearly says
"1765-1790." If Professor Bellesiles silently excluded
data from the years 1774-1776, as he asserts, precisely because they
failed to show low numbers of guns, he has willingly misrepresented
the evidence. This, compounded with all the other inconsistencies in
his description of his method and sources and the fact that neither
he nor anyone else has been able to replicate any part of his data,
suggest that there is a real discrepancy between the research
Professor Bellesiles did and his presentation of that research in
Table One.
Question 5. Did professor Bellesiles engage in "other serious
deviations 'from accepted practices in carrying out or reporting
results from research'" with respect to probate records or
militia census records by:
(a) Failing to carefully document his findings;
(b) Failing to make available to others his sources, evidence,
and data; or
(c) Misrepresenting evidence or the sources of evidence."We
have reached the conclusion with reference to clauses (a) through
(c) that Professor Bellesiles contravened these professional norms,
both as expressed in the Committee charge and in the American
Historical Association's definition of scholarly
"integrity," which includes "an awareness of one's
own bias and a readiness to follow sound method and analysis
wherever they may lead," "disclosure of all significant
qualifications of one's arguments," careful documentation of
findings and the responsibility to "thereafter be prepared to
make available to others their sources, evidence, and data,"
and the injunction that "historians must not misrepresent
evidence or the sources of evidence."
We have interviewed Professor Bellesiles and found him both
cooperative and respectful of this process. Yet the best that can be
said of his work with the probate and militia records is that he is
guilty of unprofessional and misleading work. Every aspect of his work
in the probate records is deeply flawed. Even allowing for the loss of
some of his research materials, he appears not to have been systematic
in selecting repositories or collections of probate records for
examination and his recording methods were at best primitive and
altogether unsystematic. Bellesiles seems to have been utterly unaware
of the importance of the possibility of the replication of his research.
Subsequent to the allegations of research misconduct, his responses have
been prolix, confusing, evasive and occasionally contradictory. We are
surprised and troubled that Bellesiles has not availed himself of the
opportunities he has had since the notice of this investigation to
examine, identify and share his remaining research materials. Even at
this point, it is not clear that he fully understands the magnitude of
his own probate research shortcomings.
The Committee's investigation has been seriously hampered by the
absence or unavailability of Professor Bellesiles' critical and
apparently lost research records and by the failures of memory and
careful record keeping which Professor Bellesiles himself describes.
Given his conflicting statements and accounts, it has been difficult to
establish where and how Professor Bellesiles conducted his research into
the probate records he cites: for example, what was read in microfilm
and where and in what volume, what archives, in some cases, were
actually visited and what they contained In addition to this, we note
his subsequent failure to be fully forthcoming, and the implausibility
of some of his defenses -- a prime example is that of the
"hacking" of his website; another is his disavowal of the
e-mails of Aug. 30 and Sept. 19, 2000 to Professor Lindgren which
present a version of the location and reading of records substantially
in conflict with Professor Bellesiles' current account. Taking all this
into account, we are led to conclude that, under Question 5, Professor
Bellesiles did engage in "serious deviations from accepted
practices in carrying out [and] reporting results from research."
As to these matters, comprehending points (a) [and?] (c) under Question
5, his scholarly integrity is seriously in question.
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